Graduate Student Posters

• Kenichi Ariga (University of Michigan) "Estimating the Electoral Value of Party Label Across Developed Democracies."

• Delia Bailey (Caltech) "Modeling Voter Turnout with Multilevel Structural Equations."
  

• Jennifer Barnes (University of South Carolina) "Federal Circuit Courts of Appeals Decision Making During Unified Government."

• Bernd Berber (Columbia University) "Identifying Manipulation in Electoral Results: A Novel Series of Tests and New Data from Nigeria."
  

• David Carter (University of Rochester) “Back to the Future: Modeling Temporal Dependence in Binary Data.”
  

• Daniel Corstange (University of Michigan) “Ethnic Politics and Surveys: How Do We Measure What We Want to Measure?”
  

• David Crow (University of Texas at Austin) “Disillusionment with Democracy and Political Participation in Mexico: Models for Binary Panel Data.”
  

• Justin Esarey (Florida State University) “A Fixed-Effects Bayesian Quantal Response Estimator for Incomplete Information Games.”
  

• Jeremiah Garretson (Vanderbilt University) "Ideological Change, Moving Medians, and the Structure of Party Polarization in the U.S. House: 1982-2000."
  

• John Gasper (Carnegie Mellon) “Reexamining Media Bias.”
  

• Hannah Goble (University of Wisconsin at Madison) “The Dynamics of Party Trust on National Security Issues, 2002-2006: Issue Ownership and the Vote in the Wake of 9/11 and the Iraq War.”
  
  
• Ben Goodrich (Harvard University) “A Maximum Likelihoodistic Approach to Multidimensional Bayesian Models with Latent Explanatory Variables.”

• Melanie Goodrich (New York University) “Priorities and Partisanship.”
  

• Daniel Hopkins (Harvard University) “Flooded Communities: Using the Post-Katrina Migration as a Quasi-Experiment.”
  

• Iris Hui (University of California at Berkeley) “Reconstructing Red and Blue State from Bottom Up: Using Spatial Statistics to Reexamine Income, Vote Choice and Political Polarization.”
  

• Gyung-Ho Jeong (Washington University, St. Louis) "Inter-party Heterogeneity of Interest Group Influences on Legislative Voting: An Application of Multilevel Item-Response Theory Modeling."
  

• Kyle Joyce (Penn State University) “An Agent-Based Model and Empirical Test of War Expansion.”
  

• Aya Kachi (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) “The Empirical Implications of a Theoretical Model on Coalition Bargaining and Government Survival.”
  
  
• Ryan Kennedy (Ohio State University) “Political Institutions and Executive Survival: Empirical Weaknesses and Theoretical Revisions of Selectorate Theory in the Non-Democratic Context.”
  

• Holger Kern (Cornell University) “Opium for the Masses: How Free Foreign Media Can Stabilize Authoritarian Regimes.”
  

• Hunjoon Kim (University of Minnesota) “The Global Expansion of Trials and Truth Commissions after Transition: Its Causes and Impact.”
  

• Benjamin Lauderdale (Princeton University) “Proxmire and the Golden Fleece: Searching for Maverick Legislators in Spatial Voting Errors.”
  

• Byung-Jae Lee (University of Texas at Austin) "The Causal Effects of (No) Punishment on Democratic Consolidation: Lessons from Matching."
  

• Han Soo Lee (Texas A&M University) “Heterogeneity and Economic Voting.”
  

• Amy Lerman (University of California at Berkeley) “The Politics Prisons Make: Effects of Incarceration on Social and Political Attitudes."
  
  
• Jenna Lukasik (Vanderbilt University) "Measuring Judicial Ideology Through Revealed Preferences in State Supreme Courts."

• Jamie Monogan (University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill) “Robustness of Quantal Response Models with Omitted Variables.”
  

• Jacob Montgomery & Brendan Nyhan (Duke University) “Bayesian Model Averaging: Theoretical Developments and Practical Applications.”
  

• Daniel Pemstein (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) “Democratic Compromise: A Latent Variable Analysis of Eight Measures of Regime Type.”
  

• Alejandro Quiroz Flores (New York University) “Copula Functions and Bivariate Distributions: Applications to Issues of Political Interdependence."
  
  
• Julia Rabinovich (Northwestern University) "Public Opinion and Administrative Policy Responsiveness: Federal Telecommunications and Equal Employment Opportunity."
  

• Mark Ramirez (Texas A&M University) “Dynamic Representations: Dynamic Multiple Indicators with Multiple Causes.”

• Mark Rouleau (George Mason University) “Better Automated Redistricting.”
  

• Daniel Schneider (Stanford University) “Political Cognition and Connectionism: Modeling Political
  Reasoning.”
  

• Anand Sokhey (Ohio State University) "Reexamining the Effects of Political Disagreement."
  

• Arthur Spirling (University of Rochester) “The Analysis of Power in Political Science: A New Method with Application to the Senate.”
  

• Piero Stanig (Columbia University) “Estimating the "Chilling Effect" of Defamation Law: An Empirical Study of the Press in Mexico."
  
  
• Aaron Strauss (Princeton University) "In-cycle Election Forecasting: Wiener Processes with Informative Priors."