Program

WEDNESDAY: July 18

Interdisciplinary Approaches to Social Science Methodology
Sponsored by the Penn State Quantitative Social Science Initiative

1:00-1:50, Deike Building, Room 22
David Hunter (Penn State, Department of Statistics & Center for Infectious Disease Dynamics) "Exponential-Family Random Graph Models for Social Networks."
Discussant: Anton Westveld (Washington University, St. Louis)

2:00-2:50, Deike Building, Room 22
Eric Loken (Penn State, Department of Health and Human Development) "Mixture Models in the Social Sciences."
Discussant: Arthur Spirling (University of Rochester)

3:00-3:50, Deike Building, Room 22
Chris Weaver (Penn State, Department of Geography & The GEOVista Center) "Data Visualization with Improvise."
Discussant: Iris Hui (University of California at Berkeley)

4:00-4:50, Deike Building, Room 22
Joseph Schafer (Penn State, Department of Statistics & The Methodology Center) "Missing Data and Causal Inference."
Discussant: Ryan Moore (Harvard University)

6:00-9:00, Café Laura, Mateer Building
Women's Dinner

THURSDAY: July 19

8:00-9:00, Hetzel Union Building-Robeson Center (HUB) 129
Breakfast

9:00-9:15, HUB Auditorium
Welcome

9:15-10:45, HUB Auditorium
 Kosuke Imai (Princeton University), Gary King (Harvard University), and Clayton Nall (Harvard University) "Causal Inference in Matched-Pair, Cluster-Randomized Field Experiments, with Application to
the Mexican Universal Health Insurance Evaluation."
Discussant: Jake Bowers (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign)

10:45-11:00, HUB 129
Break

11:00-12:30, HUB Auditorium
Jonathan Wand (Stanford University) "Quantitative Tests of Qualitative Hypotheses."
Discussant: Chris Zorn (University of South Carolina)

12:30-2:00, HUB Alumni Hall
 Lunch

2:00-3:30, HUB Auditorium
Jonathan Katz and Delia Bailey (Caltech) "Estimating the Effect of Voter Identification Laws on Turnout."
Discussant: Shigeo Hirano (Columbia University)

3:30-3:45, HUB 129
Break

3:45-5:15, HUB Auditorium
 Gary Bolton (Penn State, Business School) "The Nature of Trust and Information Externalities in Reputation Building."
Discussion, Experimentation in Political Science: Dean Lacy (Dartmouth), David Nickerson (Notre Dame), Curt Signorino (University of Rochester), Ismail White (University of Texas at Austin), and Corrine McConnaughy (University of Texas at Austin)

5:15-5:45, HUB Auditorium
Business meeting: Society for Political Methodology

FRIDAY: July 20

8:00-8:55, HUB 129
Breakfast

8:55-9:40

  • Session A, HUB Auditorium:
    Daniel Hopkins and Gary King (Harvard University) "Extracting Systematic Social Science Meaning from Text."
    Discussant: Andrew Martin (Washington University, St. Louis)
  • Session B, HUB Alumni Hall:
    John Jackson and Kenneth Kollman (University of Michigan) "A Model of Path Dependence with an Empirical Illustration."
    Discussant: Neal Beck (New York University)

9:40-9:45 Transition time

9:45-10:30

  • Session A, HUB Auditorium:
    Philip Schrodt (University of Kansas) "Event Data Scaling Using Item Response Theory."
    Discussant: James Honaker (UCLA)
  • Session B, HUB Alumni Hall:
    Robert Walker (Washington University, St. Louis) "On the Empirical Implications of Path Dependence: Observation-Driven Markov Models for Multiple States."
    Discussant: John Freeman (University of Minnesota)

10:30-10:45, HUB 129
 Break

10:45-12:15

  • Session A, HUB Auditorium:
    John Londregan (Princeton University) "Measuring Spatial Aspects of Legislative Delay with Evidence from the Chilean Congress."
    Discussant: Michael Bailey (Georgetown)
  • Session B, HUB Alumni Hall:
    Adam Glynn and Kevin Quinn (Harvard University) "The Relevance of Seemingly Irrelevant Covariates."
    Discussant: Ben Hansen (University of Michigan, Statistics)

12:15-1:55, HUB Alumni Hall

  • Lunch
  • Lee Sigelman (George Washington University) "How to Write a Journal Article." (12:45-1:45)

1:55-2:40

  • Session A, HUB Auditorium:
    Kevin Clarke (University of Rochester) "Data Experiments: Model Specifications as Treatments."
    Discussant: Henry Brady (University of California at Berkeley)
  • Session B, HUB Alumni Hall:
    Nathan Jensen, Andrew Martin, and Anton Westveld (Washington University, St. Louis) "Modeling the Competition for Foreign Direct Investment as a Longitudinal Social Network."
    Discussant: Robert Franzese (University of Michigan)

2:40-2:45 Transition time

2:45-3:30

  • Session A, HUB Auditorium:
    Frederick Boehmke (University of Iowa) "Bias in Dyadic Models of Policy Diffusion with Binary Dependent Variables."
    Discussant: Chris Achen (Princeton University)
  • Session B, HUB Alumni Hall:
    Jong Hee Park (University of Chicago) "Bayesian Analysis of Structural Changes."
    Discussant: Michael Colaresi (Michigan State University)

3:30-3:45, HUB 129
 Break

3:45-5:15

  • Session A, HUB Auditorium:
    Jeff Gill (Washington University, St. Louis) and George Casella (University of Florida) "Nonparametric Priors for Ordinal Bayesian Social Science Models: Specification and Estimation."
    Discussant: Sandy Gordon (New York University)
  • Session B, HUB Alumni Hall:
    Walter Mebane (Cornell University) "Statistics for Digits."
    Discussant: Wendy Tam Cho (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign)

5:30-7:00, Business School Atrium
Graduate Student Poster Session, refreshments

7:00-9:00, Business School Lawn
Dinner

SATURDAY: July 21

8:00-9:00, HUB 129
 Breakfast

9:00-10:30, HUB Auditorium
Jasjeet Sekhon and Rocio Titiunik (University of California at Berkeley) "Exploiting Tom Delay by Using a New Matching Estimator: How Voters Respond to Candidate Race, Ideology and Incumbency Status."
Discussant: Rebecca Morton (New York University)

10:45-12:15, HUB 129
Faculty Poster Session (the actual posters can be found here.)

  • William Berry (Florida State University) "The Value of Nonparametric Regression for Political Scientists."
  • Emily Clough (University of North Texas) "INGOs in International Affairs: An Agent-Based Model."
  • Skyler Cranmer (Harvard University) and Lee Walker (University of South Carolina) "Modeling Nonresponse in Survey Research."
  • Robert Franzese (University of Michigan) and Jude Hayes (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign) "Models of Spatial Interdependence in Qualitative Dependent Variables."
  • Jens Großer (Princeton University) “Candidates, Voters, and Endogenous Group Formation: An Experimental Study.”
  • Michael Hanmer (University of Maryland) and Won-Ho Park (University of Florida) “Ecological Inference under Extreme Conditions: Straight and Split-Ticket Voting in Diverse Settings and in Small Samples.”
  • William Jacoby (Michigan State University) and Dave Armstrong (University of Oxford) “Inference Strategies for Multidimensional Scaling Models: The Bootstrap Approach.”
  • Christopher Lawrence (Tulane University) “Known Unknowns and Unknown Knowns: Incorporating Uncertainty in Second-Stage Estimation.”
  • Ying Lu (University of Colorado) “Revealing Partisan Effects via Hierarchical Ideal Point Estimation.”
  • Michael McDonald (George Mason University) "Better Automated ReDistricting."
  • Rebecca Morton (New York University) “From Nature to the Lab: Experimental Political Science.”
  • David Nickerson (University of Notre Dame) “An Evaluation of Regression Discontinuity Techniques using Experiments as a Benchmark.”
  • Hans Noel (Georgetown University) “Multinomial Ideal Point Estimation: When the Decision to Speak is as Important as What You Say.”
  • Jesse Russell (Seton Hall University) “Democracy and Exchange Rate Regime Choice.”
  • Curt Signorino and David Carter (University of Rochester) "A Bayesian Solution to Complete and Quasi-Complete Separation."
  • Jeff Stonecash (Syracuse University) “Gelman and King’s Estimation of the Incumbency Effect:  A Case of Mistaken Identity.”
  • Anton Westveld (Washington University, St. Louis) “A Bayesian Mixed Effects Model for Longitudinal Social Network Data.”
  • Carole Wilson (University of Texas at Dallas), Rachel Croson (University of Texas at Dallas) and J. Matthew Wilson (Southern Methodist University) "Social Information in Political Fundraising: Field Experiments."

12:15-1:45, HUB Alumni Hall
Lunch

1:45-3:15, HUB Auditorium
Isabelle Perrigne and Quang Vuong (Penn State, Economics) "Econometric Estimation of Auction Models."
Discussion, Econometric Estimation of Game Theoretic Models in Political Science: Robert Erikson (Columbia University), Robert Franzese (University of Michigan), John Londregan (Princeton University), and John Jackson (University of Michigan)

3:15-3:30, HUB 129
 Break

3:30-5:00, HUB Auditorium
 Douglas Rivers (Stanford University) "Sampling for Web Surveys."
Discussant: Michael Alvarez (Caltech)

5:30-7:30, Hintz Family Alumni Center, Robb Hall
 Reception
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